Noe Valley Voice September 2010
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The Cost of Living in Noe

Cold Front Hits Real Estate Too

By Corrie M. Anders

The chillier-than-normal weather that settled over the neighborhood this summer also sent a nippy breeze through the Noe Valley real estate market, as home sales dropped nearly 40 percent from a year ago.

Home shoppers purchased 23 single-family homes during June and July—a marked decline from the relatively sunny tally of 37 homes that buyers acquired during the same summer months last year.

According to data supplied by Zephyr Real Estate, June registered 13 sales, just two fewer than last June. But July recorded only 10 sales, compared with 22 in July of 2009.

In past seasons, Noe Valley home sales have risen during the early summer months, then tapered off in August as families turned their attention to vacation and the start of the school.

But “we had the slowdown earlier this year,” said Randall Kostick, Zephyr’s general sales manager. “July is the new August.”

Kostick said a confluence of events might have been responsible for the smaller numbers: people taking vacations sooner (San Francisco public schools opened earlier this year), ongoing economic worries, and the end in July of a government tax credit that helped stimulate sales. First-time buyers had to close escrow by June 30 to get the $8,000 credit, while repeat buyers were eligible for a $6,500 credit.

While the housing credit may not have had a major impact in Noe Valley, where the average home costs more than $1 million, “it all kind of added up,” Kostick said.

The Zephyr manager theorized that “a lot of people are on the sidelines waiting for good news”—a boost in the economy and jobs in particular. One positive note, he said, was that mortgage interest rates, now in the mid 4 percent range, were the lowest in history.

Despite the sparse sales over the summer—and a large inventory of homes—most buyers paid more than the asking price. In both June and July, the typical home sold for 4 percent more than what the sellers initially sought.

“There is actually a fair amount of property on the market,” Kostick said. “I think people are picking through the properties, and the ones they want are the same ones everybody else wants.”

The homes that buyers considered la crème de la crème sold in a few weeks, often with multiple offers. Less desirable properties hung around for 100 days or longer, Kostick said.

Buyers paid $2,025,000—below the $2,229,000 asking price—for the most expensive property purchased in June. After 136 days, moving vans drove up to the four-bedroom, 2.5-bath dwelling in the 600 block of 27th Street between Castro and Diamond streets.

In July, the most expensive single-family home sold in 40 days for $1,605,000—considerably higher than the $1,449,000 asking price. The four-bedroom, 3.5-bath house is located in the 3800 block of 26th Street, between Dolores and Church streets.

Bucking the trend, condo sales rose during the summer. Buyers purchased 17 units during June and July, compared with 12 sales during the same period in 2009. Like their detached-home counterparts, the new condo owners often paid more than the asking price.

A unit in the 3800 block of 26th Street, between Dolores and Church streets, was the most expensive condo sold in June. Buyers paid $1,025,000—$30,000 more than the asking price—for the three-bedroom, two-bath home. It closed escrow in 29 days.

With an original price tag of $1,999,000, the costliest condo in July sold for $1.1 million, after 33 days on the market. The home, located in the 1000 block of Guerrero Street between 22nd and 23rd streets, has three bedrooms and two baths.

Noe Valley Home Sales*

 

Total Sales

Low Price ($)

High Price ($)

Average Price ($)

Average Days on Market

Sale Price as % of List Price

Single-family homes

 

July2010

10

$550,000

$1,605,000

$1,077,000

42

104%

June2010

13

$500,000

$2,025,000

$1,250,215

65

104%

May2010

9

$865,000

$3,350,000

$1,603,778

39

103%

July2009

22

$675,000

$2,610,000

$1,196,411

53

100%

June2009

15

$700,000

$2,850,000

$1,498,567

65

99%

Condominiums

 

July2010

8

$610,000

$1,100,000

$864,625

63

103%

June2010

9

$525,000

$1,025,000

$765,861

63

101%

May2010

12

$887,083

$1,600,000

$904,000

34

102%

July2009

9

$349,000

$1,030,000

$827,667

54

99%

June2009

3

$560,000

$912,000

$680,500

43

97%

2- to 4-unit buildings

 

July2010

1

$1,160,000

$1,160,000

$1,160,000

147

100%

June2010

3

$500,000

$1,400,000

$1,050,000

60

96%

May2010

5

$1,075,000

$1,500,000

$1,329,600

48

99%

July2009

3

$1,120,000

$1,725,000

$1,393,333

97

100%

June2009

0

5+-unit buildings

 

July2010

0

June2010

0

May2010

1

$1,775,000

$1,775,000

$1,775,000

38

148%

July2009

0

June2009

0

*‑ ‑Sales include all Noe Valley home sales completed during the month. Noe Valley in this survey is defined as the area bordered by Grand View, 22nd, Guerrero, and 30th streets. The Voice thanks Zephyr Real Estate (www.zephyrsf.com) for supplying the sales data.   NVV 9/10

Noe Valley Rents**

Unit

 

Sample

July-Aug. 2010

July-Aug. 2010

June 2010

July-Aug. 2009

Studio

6

$1,275 – $1,600

$1,513 / mo.

$1,366 / mo.

$1,472 / mo.

1-bdrm

38

$1,400 – $2,700

$1,828 / mo.

$1,882 / mo.

$1,633 / mo.

2-bdrm

25

$1,950 – $4,650

$2,820 / mo.

$2,622 / mo.

$2,767 / mo.

3-bdrm

28

$2,500 – $5,800

$3,872 / mo.

$3,780 / mo.

$4,332 / mo.

4+-bdrm

3

$5,350 – $6,750

$5,850 / mo.

$5,933 / mo.

$4,950 / mo.

** ­‑Survey based on a sample of 100 Noe Valley listings appearing on Craigslist.org from July 23 to Aug. 9, 2010.  NVV 9/10